Russian Arctic sets ‘fantastical’ heat records: weather chief Agence France Presse
More than 40 Bay Area school principals in quarantine after in-person meeting San Francisco Chronicle
* * *
Cost Benefit Analysis of Limited Reopening Relative to a Herd Immunity Strategy or Shelter in Place for SARS-CoV-2 in the United States medRvix. From the abstract: “A limited reopening to achieve partial mitigation of COVID-19 is cost effective relative to a full reopening if an effective therapeutic or vaccine can be deployed within 11.1 months of late May 2020. One additional month of shelter-in-place restrictions should only be imposed if it saves at least 154,586 lives per month before the development of an effective therapeutic or vaccine relative to limited reopening.” Taleb would argue that since the downside of betting on herd immunity is ruin, we should not make it; more, we should not be applying so-called cost-benefit analysis in the first place. I agree with Taleb. Note the spurious precision of “11.1 months.”
* * *
Large SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak Caused by Asymptomatic Traveler, China Emerging Infectious Diseases. Commentary:
Looks almost identical to the South Korea fitness class one (pictured left) in terms of transmission route (new one from China on right) – both figures from CDC. 112 cases and 71+ cases respectively. pic.twitter.com/AXw9F96u3v
— Bryan P. White, MS, MPH* (@bpwhite_bio) July 2, 2020
Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’ Nature. From the abstract: “Notably, 42.5% (95% CI 31.5-54.6%) of the confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections detected across the two surveys were asymptomatic (i.e. did not have symptoms at the time of swab testing and did not develop symptoms afterwards). The mean serial interval was 7.2 days (95% CI 5.9-9.6). We found no statistically significant difference in the viral load of symptomatic versus asymptomatic infections.”
Finding Antibodies that Neutralize SARS-CoV-2 NIH Director’s Blog
Will COVID-19 be evidence-based medicine’s nemesis? Trisha Greenhalg, PLOS One
* * *
The psychology of misinformation: Why we’re vulnerable FIrst Draft (TH).
COVID Underdogs: Mongolia Medium
Some Of China’s Freed Labor Activists Start New Lives, But State Pressure Lurks NPR. Amusingly, the CCP arrests Marxist labor activists.
U.S. Politics Should’ve Seen K-Pop Stans Coming New York Magazine
They just… fade away:
Incheon’s Jamie RomacArthur pic.twitter.com/q82fYZ94c3
— Dan Kurtz (@MyKBO) July 21, 2019
Threat of Further Big Dams on the Mekong Diminishes Asia Sentinel
Wet War in a Dry Land Exponents
Lack of local Covid-19 testing data hinders UK’s outbreak response (free) FT. Yikes:
But the govt is sitting on a much more complete dataset including pillar 2, which tells a completely different story
More than 90% of new cases in Leicester are now under pillar 2, yet these numbers are not public. If you’re a local biz owner in Leicester, you only see the blue. pic.twitter.com/aZY20EuOGc
— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) June 30, 2020
Thousands of test and trace callers failed to find a SINGLE contact of a coronavirus patient, investigation reveals Daily Mail. “[Serco’s] 25,000 call handlers only traced 15,812 people to tell them to isolate, while 98,000 were traced by 870 Public Health England officials.”
New Cold War
Putin’s referendum Gilbert Doctorow
Access To ACA Coverage In The COVID-19 Crisis Health Affairs
COVID-19 to cost hospitals $323 billion, American Hospital Association says Beckers Hospital Review
1 big thing: Senility becomes 2020 flashpoint Axios. The political class certainly used the four years since 2016 to good effect.
No, Trump Isn’t Going to Drop Out Politico
L’Affaire Joffrey Epstein
U.S. regulator, Boeing complete 737 MAX certification test flights Reuters. But the data needs to be evaluated.
Black Injustice Tipping Point
Pitchfork-wielding protesters descend on wealthy Hamptons estates Page Six. Plastic pitchforks. This time.
Family Care for All The Baffler
America’s Enduring Caste System New York Times. “Caste is the infrastructure of our divisions.” Anything, anything but class (which, having been thrown out the front door, sneaks in through the back window as soon as you take the author’s category error-hobbled “America is like a house” trope seriously).
Complementary currencies for municipal finance Interfluidity
Boss of the Beach New York Magazine
Do You Have What It Takes to Be a Master Auctioneer? Texas Monthly (Re Silc).
Antidote du jour (via):
Gorgeous, but yikes!
See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.